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Rolling hedge

Capital Markets

Keeping cover continuous by adding a contract at the far end as the nearest expires, so the hedged rate keeps refreshing at the market of the day.

Also written: layered hedging, hedge roll, rolling hedge programme

Most corporate hedging programmes are layered rather than one large contract. Cover is built in tranches across the forecast horizon and, as the nearest tranche settles, a new one is added at the far end. The result is continuous protection with a rate that averages across several strike dates rather than depending on the luck of a single one.

The point that matters, and the one interviewers probe, is that continuous cover is not a fixed price. Every roll is struck at whatever the market is on the day it happens, so a sustained move in the underlying price reaches the company eventually. What the programme controls is the speed of arrival, not the destination.

That makes the hedge a timing instrument. It converts a step change into a gradual one and gives management a defined window to respond, whether by raising its own prices, renegotiating supply, qualifying an alternative source or withdrawing from a product line. A programme whose window is never used bought a delay and nothing else.

The trap to avoid is describing a rolling programme as a fixed cost base. A candidate who says the company is protected has missed the mechanism. A candidate who says the company has bought roughly a year before the new market level reaches its margin has understood it.

Worked example

Illustrative. A euro buyer of £100 of input a year locks year one at €1.20, paying €120 against an unhedged €135 once sterling strengthens to €1.35. The hedge saved €15.

The roll then happens near €1.35, so year two costs €135. Across two years the company paid €255 against €270 unhedged: a €15 benefit in total, not €15 a year.

The saving was one off. The higher cost is permanent. The twelve months bought in between were the actual product.

Taught in context in Macro and Market AwarenessSee the three modules that are free to read

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