Forward contract
Capital MarketsA bilateral agreement to exchange a fixed amount at a fixed rate on a fixed future date, negotiated to match the exposure it covers.
Also written: forwards, FX forward, currency forward
A forward is the instrument a corporate treasury reaches for first. It is agreed directly with a bank rather than bought on an exchange, so the amount, the currency pair and the settlement date are negotiated to match the underlying exposure exactly. If the invoice falls due in March, the forward settles in March, for the invoice amount.
No cash changes hands until settlement and there is no fee line. The bank's margin is embedded in the rate quoted, which is one reason a company with several relationship banks will put a large hedge out to more than one of them.
The feature candidates miss is credit. A forward is an exposure running both ways, because whenever the contract moves in the company's favour the bank is owed nothing and the company is owed something. Banks therefore charge the hedge against a credit line, and that line is the same resource the revolving facility draws on. A company approaching its limits can discover it cannot put on the hedge at precisely the moment the exposure has become frightening.
One further point, because it is a reliable trap. A forward rate is spot adjusted for the interest rate differential between the two currencies, which is covered interest parity. It is not the market's forecast of where spot will be. A candidate who reads a forward curve as a prediction is making a confident sounding error, and the same applies to a commodity forward curve, whose shape reflects storage and financing costs rather than a consensus view.
And a forward binds in both directions. The company pays the agreed rate whether the market ends up above or below it. Giving up the favourable move is the price of certainty, and an instrument that protects only against the adverse move is an option, paid for with a premium.
Worked example
Illustrative. A euro reporting manufacturer expects to pay £100 for a component during the coming year and locks a forward at €1.20 per £, so its cost is €120 and its budget is built on that.
If sterling strengthens to €1.35 the forward has saved €15, because the unhedged cost would have been €135. If sterling falls to €1.05 the company still pays €120 while its unhedged competitor pays €105.
The forward did not make the company right about sterling. It made the number knowable, which is a different and more modest achievement.