Relevant alternative
M&A / Merger ModelWhatever the court considers most likely to happen if a restructuring plan is not sanctioned, and the benchmark every dissenting class is measured against.
Also written: no worse off test, the relevant alternative
The relevant alternative is a finding of fact, not a formality. The court decides what would most likely occur without the plan, and in a distressed case that is usually an administration, an accelerated sale of the business, or a break up. Each dissenting class is then measured against that scenario.
Because the no worse off test compares the plan to that scenario and to nothing else, the comparator does most of the work. A class that recovers nothing in the relevant alternative is close to impossible to make worse off, so almost any consideration under the plan clears the test.
That is why the valuation evidence is fought so hard. A dissenting class trying to defeat cram down rarely attacks the plan itself. It argues that the court has chosen the wrong alternative, or that the alternative is worth more than the company says, because moving the comparator is the only route to showing the class is worse off.
It also explains why a liquidation analysis gets prepared when nobody intends to liquidate. The comparator is not what the parties want to happen, it is what the court believes would happen, so establishing it is an evidential exercise rather than a negotiating position.
Worked example
A company says the relevant alternative is an administration realising €270m against claims of €650m. Dissenting noteholders argue it is a solvent sale realising €560m. Illustrative figures.
At €270m the notes recover nothing without the plan and cannot show they are worse off. At €560m the value reaches their class and the plan's 13% starts to look like a loss, so the whole cram down analysis changes.