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In market consolidation

Sector Deep Dives

A merger between two operators in the same national market, where one of the two networks can be switched off.

Also written: in-market consolidation, in market merger, in-market merger

European telecom is regulated country by country, so scale is national. An operator with subscribers in six countries runs six networks, six regulatory relationships and six duplicated fixed cost bases, which is the standard explanation for the sector's returns on capital here.

In market consolidation attacks that directly. Combining two operators in the same country puts both subscriber bases on one network, so one set of sites, backhaul, spectrum and core network becomes redundant. Because network cost is overwhelmingly fixed, the saving is very large, and it shows up in future capital expenditure as well as in operating cost.

A cross border combination does not do this. Two networks in different countries do not overlap, cannot be merged, and the benefit is mostly procurement scale and shared central functions, which is real but far smaller.

The awkward pairing is that the valuable deal is the difficult one. Reducing the number of network operators in a single market is precisely what a competition authority examines, so in market deals face the hardest review and frequently carry remedies such as divesting spectrum or providing wholesale access to a new entrant, while cross border deals clear more easily and deliver less. A good part of why the fragmentation persists sits in that asymmetry.

Worked example

Two operators in one country each run a national network. Combined, one network serves both subscriber bases and the other is decommissioned, so duplicated site rental, backhaul and future upgrade spending disappear.

The same two operators in different countries keep both networks running. The synergy is limited to buying handsets and equipment in larger volumes and consolidating head office functions.

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