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Exchange ratio

M&A / Merger Model

The number of acquirer shares a target shareholder receives for each target share held.

Also written: share exchange ratio

In a share funded deal the exchange ratio is the term the two sides negotiate directly, and almost everything else in the transaction follows from it: the number of new shares issued, the denominator of pro forma earnings per share, and the percentage of the combined company each shareholder base ends up owning.

It is normally quoted per share, which is why it says nothing on its own about control. A ratio of 0.70 is consistent with the target's holders owning a tenth of the combination or half of it, depending on the two share counts. Multiply the ratio by the target's shares to get the new shares issued, then divide by the combined count to get the ownership split, which is the number that governance is argued against.

The ratio can be written two ways. Fix the ratio and the value delivered floats with the acquirer's share price. Fix the value and the ratio floats instead, so the share count and the ownership are unknown until shortly before completion. Which one is chosen decides which shareholder base carries the acquirer's price risk between signing and completion.

In a deal struck at relative value with no premium, the ownership split should equal each side's share of combined equity value. Where it does not, either somebody is paying a premium or the ratio was struck on something other than value, and both are worth asking about.

Worked example

A target with 100 million shares agrees a ratio of 0.70. It receives 70 million new acquirer shares.

The acquirer already has 120 million shares, so the combined count is 190 million and the target's holders own 70 over 190, or 36.8%.

Change the ratio to 0.80 and the same target's holders own 80 over 200, or 40.0%. A tenth of a share on the ratio moved the ownership split by more than three percentage points.

Taught in context in M&A II: Merger Models and Accretion DilutionSee the three modules that are free to read

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